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Montana Senate race still too close to call

Posted: Aug 21, 2012 6:12 PM by John Sherer - MTN News

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A new Rasmussen Reports poll in the Montana U. S. Senate race between Denny Rehberg and Jon Tester shows a slight lead by Rehberg but that lead is less than the margin of error for the survey.

Montana Senate: Rehberg (R) 47%, Tester (D) 43%
Montana Survey of 500 Likely Voters

• Republican Congressman Denny Rehberg continues to hold a modest lead over incumbent Jon Tester in Montana's U.S. Senate race.

• In Montana, Republican Congressman Denny Rehberg with 47% support to incumbent Jon Tester's 43%, while 5% prefer some other candidate, and 5% are undecided.

• The race remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power projections.

In June, the race was Rehberg 49%, Tester 47%.

• In four out of five surveys conducted this year, Rehberg's support has held steady at 47% to 49%, while Tester has polled at 43% or 44% four times since February.

• Just 8% rate the economy as good or excellent, while 57% give the economy a poor rating.

• 29% say economic conditions are getting better, 43% say they are getting worse, comparable to consumer confidence nationwide.

• Tester leads comfortably among voters who give the economy positive marks, but Rehberg holds a better than three-to-one lead among voters in the much larger group who rate the economy as poor.

• 65% share a favorable opinion of Medicare, including 24% who view the program Very Favorably, while 31% have an unfavorable opinion of Medicare, with 9% who view it Very Unfavorably. These sentiments are similar to those measured nationally.

• When it comes to the future of Medicare, 52% of Montana voters are scared more by President Obama's national health care law than by Ryan's proposal, but 37% worry more about Ryan's plan.

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence

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